AA Stock Analysis

Alcoa Corp
BASIC MATERIALS ALUMINUM

Back to Winners View Yahoo Finance Chart Buy on the Dip

Strong Caution Mixed Weak Unavailable

StockValueFinder Grade

63.42 / 100

Above Average

Confidence: Very High (90.0%) Coverage: 100.0%

Business Quality 70.9

Financial Strength 70.0

Earnings & Growth 41.6

Valuation 79.9

Market Strength 49.2

The grade combines Business Quality, Financial Strength, Earnings & Growth, Valuation, and Market Strength. Rating and Trend remain separate signals.

Rating AVOID

Avoid

The screening rules are warning against this setup.

Rating is the simple decision label from the screening rules.

Trend WEAK TREND

Unclear

Trend interpretation is unavailable.

Trend shows whether price action is helping or hurting the setup.

P/E Ratio 12.48

Value-Friendly

Below 15 is a classic value screen, but not proof of a bargain.

P/E shows how much investors pay for each dollar of earnings.

ROIC 12.95%

Good

10%+ is generally a strong operating-quality signal.

ROIC measures how efficiently capital turns into profit.

Debt Payback 4.30 yrs

Fair

Manageable, but not as strong as a sub-3-year payback.

Debt payback estimates how quickly debt could be covered.

Interest Coverage 6.15x

Good

6x+ is generally a healthy interest-coverage level.

Interest coverage shows how easily earnings cover interest costs.

Price $48.72

Market Price

Price alone is not a buy or sell signal.

Price should be judged with valuation, quality, and trend.

💰 Dividend Income Dividend Payer

$0.10 quarterly

Annualized: $0.40 • Yield: 0.82%

Last ex-dividend: 2026-08-11. Dividend payments can change or be suspended.

Estimated income from $1,000 invested $2.05 per quarterly payment $8.21 estimated yearly Based on cached price. Estimates exclude taxes, dividend changes, and fractional-share limitations.

Last updated: 2026-07-14 02:22:08

AI Hedge Fund Panel Review

Multi-agent AI second opinion. This is research support, not financial advice.

No AI panel review has been cached yet for this ticker. The next background AI scan can add one automatically.

🔴

Red Light Avoid / Exit Warning

SVF Entry & Exit Plan

Price is below the 50-day average area. This is not a clean long setup.

Suggested Entry Zone $53.44 - $56.15

Preferred area to consider an entry instead of chasing price.

Current Price $48.72

Distance from 20-day average: -10.2%

Initial Stop / Exit Point $41.22

Consider exiting if price closes below this risk line.

Trailing Stop 15.4%

Volatility-adjusted trailing stop estimate.

Profit Target 1 $63.73

Approximate 2-to-1 reward/risk target.

Profit Target 2 $71.23

Approximate 3-to-1 reward/risk target.

20-Day Avg$54.25

50-Day Avg$63.16

200-Day Avg$55.32

This entry and exit plan is generated from rule-based price, trend, volatility, and AI-review data. It is a research tool only, not financial advice.

Performance Overview

Trailing adjusted-close returns as of 2026-07-13. Benchmark is SPY.

YTD Return

AA -8.02%

SPY +10.45%

1-Year Return

AA +58.16%

SPY +21.46%

3-Year Return

AA +37.43%

SPY +72.98%

5-Year Return

AA +43.58%

SPY +84.05%

Returns are calculated from adjusted close prices and may differ from broker or research-site totals depending on data source, dividend handling, benchmark choice, and latest available trading date.

AA Price & Moving Average Chart

Cached chart using stored daily close prices with 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages.

65.10%

Price 20-day MA 50-day MA 200-day MA Limit buy idea

Chart window: 2025-06-30 to 2026-07-13. Current cached close: $48.72. Period change: 65.10%.

AI Analyst Explanation

Plain-English expert explanation based on cached fundamentals, moving averages, and chart behavior. Educational only — not financial advice.

THINKING Just a minute...

The AI analyst is reading the chart, moving averages, valuation, fundamentals, and risk signals. The explanation will appear in this box automatically.

Current step Starting analyst queue... The page will update automatically when the explanation is ready.

Data Chart Fundamentals Analyst Writing

Legacy Screening Checks

This page uses cached SQL data from the latest StockValueFinder scan, so it loads fast without hitting Alpha Vantage on every page view.

57%

EPS Strength

FAIL

Looks for positive and improving earnings per share.

ROIC 10%+

PASS

Looks for strong return on invested capital.

Interest Coverage 6+

PASS

Checks whether operating income comfortably covers interest expense.

Debt Payback ≤ 3 Years

FAIL

Checks whether free cash flow could pay down long-term debt quickly.

P/E 15 or Less

PASS

Checks whether valuation is reasonable under the current rule set.

Moving Average Trend

WEAK TREND

Uses 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages for entry timing context.

A high StockValueFinder score is a research signal, not a guarantee. Strong companies can still fall during recessions, sector downturns, valuation resets, or company-specific events. Always review the business, risks, SEC filings, valuation, and your personal investment goals before buying.

Cached Technical Data

Moving average values from the latest stored scan.

20-Day MA54.25

50-Day MA63.16

200-Day MA55.32

MA Score2

30-Day Trendline Analysis

Optional intraday chart with rising support, falling resistance, and multi-timeframe views.

Load detailed price structure only when needed. Downloads roughly 30 days of 5-minute candles, identifies swing points, then calculates validated support and resistance lines.